Paging Al Gore…
We are approaching the latter part of August, which typically means that we are entering the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season. According to National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) statistics, September 10th is the peak of the season with the month of August serving as a significant ramp up period. This year forecasters have continued to adjust their forecasts downward. One of the primary reasons is that the region of the Atlantic that “breeds” storms at this time of year has colder than normal waters.
NOAA recently released its updated projections for the season….It notes,
The outlook indicates a 60% chance of a below-normal season, a 30% chance of a near-normal season, and only a 10% chance of an above-normal season. Less activity is now expected compared to NOAA’s pre-season outlook issued on 24 May…..The Atlantic hurricane region includes the North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico….
Princeton Physicist Points Out The Obvious: Climate Models ‘Don’t Work’
Through May, the number of tornadoes was just over half of average with the number of deaths being 1/10. Haven’t noticed significant tornado activity in June & July, so I believe we are still well below average for the year.
https://www.mlive.com/weather/index.ssf/2018/06/tornado_season_numbers_down_ac.html