As you might imagine, I’m very disappointed that Carly Fiorina did not make the the cut for the prime time debate. The fact that Christie, Huckabee and Kasich are in the main debate is especially irritating with someone like Fiorina not making the cut. But in the scheme of things, if she’s as good as I believe her to be, which debate she’s in Thursday night will matter little. Here are the details, and I look forward to seeing your thoughts.
Via Fox News:
Fox News has announced the line-up for the prime-time Republican presidential debate this Thursday, and here’s who qualified:
Real estate magnate Donald Trump; former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush; Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker; former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee; retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson; Texas Sen. Ted Cruz; Florida Sen. Marco Rubio; Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul; New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie; and Ohio Gov. John Kasich.
The roster of 10 candidates was determined based on an average of the five most recent national polls. Trump as expected made the cut, as did Bush and Walker, who have each posted strong numbers in recent surveys.
The drama, rather, was at the edge of the top 10. Christie and Kasich, who were hovering by that edge in recent polling, were able to qualify.
But former Texas Gov. Rick Perry, former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum and several others will not be on the prime-time, 9 p.m. ET stage. The seven who did not make the top 10 will be invited to a separate 5 p.m. ET debate. Aside from Perry and Santorum, this includes Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal; former HP head Carly Fiorina; South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham; former New York Gov. George Pataki; and former Virginia Gov. Jim Gilmore.
The five polls included in the average that determined the line-up were conducted by Bloomberg, CBS News, Fox News, Monmouth University and Quinnipiac University.
And from NY Times:
In a Bloomberg News poll this week of registered voters who identify as Republicans, about 71 percent of those surveyed approved of how Fox News has handled the debates. And an early-state forum that aired on C-Span on Monday night, with 14 of the candidates, highlighted how unwieldy the process is.
But some critics complained that the national polls used to select the debate participants had too small a sample size, with too wide a margin of error, to adequately assess a candidate’s standing.
“I don’t know why they didn’t just do one large poll of primary voters,” said Matthew Dowd, a former adviser to President George W. Bush.
“This has been one of the best quality fields we’ve seen in a long time, it’s just an amazing field,” said David Winston, a top Republican pollster who worked for Newt Gingrich in the 2012 presidential race.
Of those who did not make the prime-time debate, he said, “these are quality candidates who have earned the right to be involved in a presidential debate.”
There should have been a way to accommodate sitting senators and governors with records of accomplishment, Mr. Winston said. “I understand that having that many candidates is a challenge and it’s a problem they should have figured out a way to resolve,” he said.